Pro Commerce

Depression and Low Birth Rate

I write this blog with inadequate data.  I can find no data on the level of depression in the U.S. over time.  The birth rate has been steadily declining since 1994.

A proxy for depression in the U.S. might be suicide, which has increased by 30% since 2000.

I know that the highest reproduction rate in all developed nations is found in Israel, the Jews in Israel.  Every other developed nation is showing a decline in reproduction.  Israel is significant to me because the Israeli army has women members meaning marriageable mates are introduced to each other. Israel also has a uniquely optimistic society.  A homeland dream becomes real after two thousand years.

My personal family data is what leads to this blog. My most recent cohort of 20-year-old children and grandchildren has more depressed members than any previous cohort. A small sample.

I believe the reason for both depression and not having children is the current prevailing young person’s worldview.  Human-caused global warming and the imminent Armageddon that follows is a good reason not to have children. Add to that the belief that America is a racist nation with a terrible income inequity problem and I can’t see any reason to have children; to create more Americans. ‘Wokiness’ is the source of depression and the anti-birth consequences.

Does all that make sense?  A generation with a gloomy world view and a history to be ashamed of means fewer and fewer children.

Please note that I consider the global warming worldview to be nonsense. The planet today has an average temperature of 57.4F, the same as the first reliable data in 1950. A country where 7 of the top public corporation CEOs are dark-skinned immigrants from India can’t be considered racist by a rational person.

Seizing Private Property Internationally

Maybe I’m a little sensitive in some way that most people aren’t.

When the U.S. orders a local government of a foreign country to seize a Russian oligarich’s yacht or jet it doesn’t seem right to me.

When our country was founded, we created a navy to protect American ships in the Mediterranean that were being captured by pirates.  Now we are the pirates.

In the case of the capture of jet planes the legal excuse is our existing military export laws.  The plane was built a decade ago and re-sold several times.

I have no idea, nor do I care, about the legal basis for this crude behavior.  It seems to violate every core idea of the international maritime laws and laws of air space.

It seems reckless.  Russia has already denied entry to a list of U.S. government officials in retaliation.  Russia and her allies could do much more harm.

I find it hard to imagine that any American who owns a ship, a yacht, an airplane or a piece of property that could be confiscated by a foreign country will go to sleep in comfort tonight.

Am I the only person who thinks that this sort of behavior on an international scale is contrary to core American ideals? The potential revenge consequences of this policy are incredibly stupid.

Proof About False Econ Theory on Inflation

A few weeks ago I wrote a blog saying that econ theory was wrong about money supply being the reason for our current inflation. The real cause is the dramatic increase in the price of oil/gas the foundation of our economy.  Just as was true in 1973.

I've thought about a proof of my position.  Japan in 1995 began a period of deflation that has continued until the present. Deflation.  During that entire time the Central Bank of Japan has been printing money. Japan for the entire time, 27 years, has had the highest debt to GDP ratio of any industrial nation.  Currently the dept is 200% of GDP.  That is proof.

 

Boudin, the School Board and Me

So much ignorance in the reporting of two San Francisco recall elections locally and nationally.  I just had to write this blog quickly. This home of Nancy Pelosi has had two successful recalls in three months and all the media I see gets it completely wrong.

Why me? What is my special insight?

More than five years ago I figured out that only a modest part of San Francisco was crazy woke, but that part of the electorate was most active, aggressive and was well organized because of the strong local unions and the most powerful Democrat Party West of the Mississippi.

The local San Francisco Democrat Party elects more statewide offices with its small population than Los Angeles with a population six times greater. Six times greater and one third the elected statewide offices.

Up until 1965, San Francisco had Republican mayors, state representatives and members of Congress.  That hasn’t been true since then, since the end of the hereditary elite that I have written about in earlier blogs.  

Three of the great leaders of the Democrat Party were San Franciscans and built the local party into the Statewide mega-machine.  Pat Brown, Dianne Feinstein and Willie Brown.  The other great power was Jesse Unruh from Southern California.

What I figured out, with 45 years in local politics, was that a major part of the San Francisco electorate was Asian with conservative pro-police and pro-business values.  The Chinese had been co-opted into a strong voting group in the Democrat Party by Rose Pak who used the Democrat corruption to decisively help her voters.

The Chinese of Rose Pak along with a large Filipino group, Vietnamese and other South Asian settlers in San Francisco constituted a large near majority. This large population had common values:  they believed in the value of education, they supported the police and they were all part of the small business working population.

My idea was to start running city propositions that supported the police.  Based on these propositions I would raise money for this new pan-Asian group, find and reward the good community organizers and build a new conservative political machine.

I had to get the support of the police union leaders.  I tried for two years and failed.  I even went to the only honest politician in San Francisco, Quentin Kopp, who wouldn’t help me at the time because of his ties to the Democrat Party machine.

Those efforts five years ago are how I know why San Francisco was able to organize two recall elections and voted to recall three School Board members and a District Attorney.  

The Asian voting community was appalled by the School Board that had ruined the schools, with the student population dropping from 85,000 students in 1970 when I was involved to 43,000 today.  Many students moved to private schools and many white families moved to suburban schools. The number of classrooms and teachers remained the same and the administration expanded. The key mover in the recall was the School Boards elimination of the historic college prep high school (Lowell) because it had become 75% Asian.

The Asian community also voted to recall the openly communist District Attorney because he failed to stop the 10-fold increase in auto break-ins which affected nearly every Asian family in the City.  He allowed the open public robbery of every small retail business and the consequent closing of many chain stores that served the Asian community. He was also openly at war with the local police.

THAT is the story of the San Francisco recall elections.

Great Harm to America’s Future

That thud you heard while driving was the sound of having hit and driven over the American Golden Goose.

American industry has been getting a greater share of our GDP every year from overseas sales. That was our Golden Goose.  The incredible wealth of the San Francisco Bay Area is from the vast penetration of American tech all over the world and the resulting revenues from the Internet, phone apps and software.

Why we lose.

Just think for a moment of being a business person in some midsize country in Southeast Asia, the Middle-East or Latin America.

Let’s be an ad agency in Jakarta, a retail mall in Turkey or a floral distributor in Peru.  You want a new business program for your office computers and a good graphics program.  You want to find a retail food shop for your mall and you want to rent to a retail shop in the space next door.  You need an internationally respected audit firm.

Until Spring of 2022 the choice was easy. 

Then many U.S. woke companies abandoned their businesses in Russia: Microsoft, Adobe, McDonalds, Starbucks and Deloitte. Totally abandoned, no service no updates; abandoned.

Now you have to be concerned that your country’s government might fall on the wrong side of U.S. foreign policy like Russia did. Other countries in the world have relied on American companies but so far have not been treated as badly as Russia, except for China, Iran, India, North Korea, Cuba and Venezuela.

From now on you will go to an Indian or Chinese firm first.  Both India and China will soon be offering direct competition for all big American tech firms.  For international retail brands you will go to Brazilian or South Korean companies.  For auditing you will find a Singaporian firm.

Say goodbye to American business growth overseas.  America has killed or seriously wounded its great commercial global future.

America had a great monopolistic advantage after WWII, especially in airlines and communications. The advantage lasted 75 years.  It has been thrown away, by a shortsighted government.