Economists
must be having a rough time these days... if they are honest with
themselves.
The
Phillips curve turns out to be a farce. It was the curve
showing inflation and unemployment rates moving in parallel. Not
now... no way.
Keynes
macro models failed badly both in Japan in the 1990’s and the U.S.
where the Keynes stimulus equation predicted a reduced unemployment
to 8% but after vast stimulus it came in above 10%.
Going
off the gold standard was suppose to help keep economies more
independent. All markets on the planet have been in minute to minute sync for the last
15 years.
Deflation
is supposed to be a negative ruling force. But GDPs have been growing despite
the absence of a model showing the connection.
Japan
has an extreme debt to GDP ratio but the yen is the strongest
currency in the world.
My
favorite: after P. Krugman ( he became a political hack) claimed the
geo-political nature of economic engines and got a Nobel prize, many
non-geographic industries have emerged: computers, the Internet,
apps, TV news, cable and satellite systems.
Woe
to be an economist.