We
don't have a term for it yet, but maybe it will be the October Avalanche(10/07). October of
the year before last was the beginning of a dramatic financial slide
that changed the world.
The Dow Jones went from over 14,000 to under 7,000 by March of this year. The financial slide happened all over the world.
There
are three important lessons about finance to learn. First, no investment strategy
that was known before 10/07 was reliable protection. None. No form of
diversification worked. Harvard, Yale and Stanford lost as much as the
rest of the financial world.
Second,
the whole world is a single volatile financial system. We have no idea
how far back that reality goes but it began more that 170 years ago as gold and industrial commerce started their long journey. We
have to learn to live with this volatility...we may never understand it.
Third,
the financial system and the commercial system are only loosely
connected. While the financial system fell dramatically in October 2007, several
nations went bankrupt and more were nearly bankrupt, yet..... many economies
showed little effect. China and India continued to grow vigorously the
entire time and U.S. output barely slowed down for a couple of
quarters (despite the absurd statements of the political world and the legacy media).
Let's
face reality. There is not now and may never be a safe long term
financial investment strategy. We must decouple the financial world
from the commercial world.